Pure Havane. Had this on today , great stuff , honeyed cherries with a touch of tobacco . Longevity was 6-8 hours , with good projection in the first 4 hours.
Other great ones : YSL La Nuit , L'Instant de Guerlain Extreme , Dior Homme Intense , Fahrenheit ( it may be old , but it's timeless ) , Le Male Terrible ( not the original one ) .
I would've said Burberry London but you mentioned that you want good longevity and projection .
Burberry London almost wins this contest, but longevity is an issue. I bet it would last longer if you paired it with the Burberry London shower gel though.
My thoughts as well....London was the first to come to mind when you put winter & modern together, but it just seems that most people have projection & sillage issues with it. I find the longevity's ok and the rest can be improved by a few more sprays, or layering a couple sprays on top of each other in a few key areas...
Dior Homme Intense
Costume National Homme (A true powerhouse)
Burberry London (Dubious longevity though)
Pure Havane(The only version of the otherwise revolting A*Men that I actually like)
Love Burberry London and I carry it in an atomizer as the longevity is sad
I'm not a big fan of the Iris note in DHI and I hate the harshness in A*Men; however, both are beasts in projection and longevity.
I'd recommend (in no particular order):
Bogart Pour Homme
Givenchy play Intense (I'm wearing it now )
L'Instant de Guerlain Extreme
Chanel Allure Homme Sport has great longevity and smells good too, but maybe isn't specifically a 'winter' fragrance. Tobacco Vanille from Tom Ford is a rich, warming scent, but from what I've read Pure Malt/Havane do a similar job (and cost less too).