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  1. #1

    Default Predict Them Now: Fragrances That Will Be Discontinued and Sell for Big Bucks on eBay in 3 Years.

    Should we have seen the Gucci Envy's and M7's and Casual Friday's coming?


    Guerlain Homme L'Eau is one of my favorites and before I knew it it went from $55 to $175.


    What do you think are some of the next discontinued to gems to fetch high bids on eBay? Or has that era passed us, and like baseball cards there's no longterm value in the new stuff?


    If you had $1,000 to invest in one fragrance today, which would it be?
    *My current wardrobe is up to date as of: 12/26/19*

  2. #2

    Default Re: Predict Them Now: Fragrances That Will Be Discontinued and Sell for Big Bucks on eBay in 3 Years

    I think at some point Gucci Pour Homme II will be discontinued. Not sure I would invest 1k in it though I'm sure once it's off the market it will command high prices.
    MY STEALTHY FREEDOM.
    Currently wearing: Erolfa by Creed

  3. #3
    hednic's Avatar
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    Default Re: Predict Them Now: Fragrances That Will Be Discontinued and Sell for Big Bucks on eBay in 3 Years

    Quote Originally Posted by Buysblind View Post
    Should we have seen the Gucci Envy's and M7's and Casual Friday's coming?
    Is it definitively known (because I don't know) why they were discontinued? Was it poor sales, industry restrictions on certain ingredients, or something else? Nevertheless, not sure about not yet discontinued, but I have noticed that Must De Cartier has also increased greatly in its asking price over the last few years
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  4. #4

    Default Re: Predict Them Now: Fragrances That Will Be Discontinued and Sell for Big Bucks on eBay in 3 Years

    Discontinued: Aventus batch no. _______

    I could see LIDGE going up when people start wanting the "vintage" stuff.
    Currently wearing: Vetiver by Guerlain

  5. #5
    Basenotes Institution badarun's Avatar
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    Default Re: Predict Them Now: Fragrances That Will Be Discontinued and Sell for Big Bucks on eBay in 3 Years

    Strictly for $$$ only - Aventus, as there's tons of nutcases still seeking "the" right batch...

    For a fragrance / scent only - few Malle's, Sahara Noir (if it's not already d'contd), Blackbird, Leather Oud, Slumberhouse, Fazzolari / Bogue's releases to name a few. Most of these will take a hit with the ever imposing IFRA regulations & what not...I recall seeing Bogue's Eau d'E selling for insane prices online - close to $10 per ml.
    Currently wearing: Cedrat Boise by Mancera

  6. #6
    Super Member mkpunk's Avatar
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    Default Re: Predict Them Now: Fragrances That Will Be Discontinued and Sell for Big Bucks on eBay in 3 Years

    Polo Supreme OUD (was this a limited release, I'm not sure...)
    Jay Z Gold (just because it is so awesome and I feel an under-rated scent that is sooo great)
    Acqua de Gio Perfumo (this fragrance is one that while I don't own (looking to get rid of some first and also looking to get it for March-August) it is great smelling.)

  7. #7
    Super Member Michael293's Avatar
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    Default Re: Predict Them Now: Fragrances That Will Be Discontinued and Sell for Big Bucks on eBay in 3 Years

    Aventus-just to see the craze it'd cause and how many BNers suddenly brag about owning Aventus.
    D&G The One - This falls under the good but not best seller category
    DHI - Once Sauvage become best seller. It's already hard to find in the U.S.
    Terre d'hermes - unlikely at the time of this thread but it's getting old
    Last edited by Michael293; 23rd July 2016 at 06:37 AM.
    Currently wearing: Aventus by Creed

  8. #8

    Default Re: Predict Them Now: Fragrances That Will Be Discontinued and Sell for Big Bucks on eBay in 3 Years

    I can see this happening to a few Tom Fords like either the EDP or EDT of Grey Vetiver (whichever sells the least).

    Quote Originally Posted by adam090273 View Post
    I think at some point Gucci Pour Homme II will be discontinued. Not sure I would invest 1k in it though I'm sure once it's off the market it will command high prices.
    Rumors have swirled for several years that GPHII was being discontinued. I'm shocked it's still around

    Quote Originally Posted by rdoss27 View Post
    I could see LIDGE going up when people start wanting the "vintage" stuff.
    Re: LIDGE, this has already happened.
    Currently wearing: Original Vetiver by Creed

  9. #9
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    Default Re: Predict Them Now: Fragrances That Will Be Discontinued and Sell for Big Bucks on eBay in 3 Years

    It won't be Aventus.

    Recently an unopened 17oz 11z01 flacon only sold for $975 on eBay... Basically retail.

  10. #10
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    Default Re: Predict Them Now: Fragrances That Will Be Discontinued and Sell for Big Bucks on eBay in 3 Years

    Isn't Creed's Spice & Wood supposedly a "limited edition" fragrance? Does that mean it will; be discontinued at some point?
    Currently wearing: Beau de Jour by Tom Ford

  11. #11
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    Default Re: Predict Them Now: Fragrances That Will Be Discontinued and Sell for Big Bucks on eBay in 3 Years

    Quote Originally Posted by tspencer View Post
    Isn't Creed's Spice & Wood supposedly a "limited edition" fragrance? Does that mean it will; be discontinued at some point?
    It's one of the Royal Exclusives. I don't think any of them were intended to be limited edition releases, but not sure.
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  12. #12

    Default Re: Predict Them Now: Fragrances That Will Be Discontinued and Sell for Big Bucks on eBay in 3 Years

    LIDGE - not really because it is supposed to smell the same after 30 mins. That blog "raiders of the lost scent" did a test and that is what he claims

    Aventus - not really, I wouldn't think many would go out their way to find exactly the one they want and you can't guess which one it is that the majority of the people would search for... I'd rather buy 5 Armaf than pay $1000 for any aventus.

    My guess... fragrances ruined by the Oakmoss ban. I am stocking up on DHI 2013's and I managed to find La Nuit 2010's too.

  13. #13

    Default Re: Predict Them Now: Fragrances That Will Be Discontinued and Sell for Big Bucks on eBay in 3 Years

    Dior Homme Parfum
    Givenchy Play Intense
    Montana Black Edition

  14. #14

    Default Re: Predict Them Now: Fragrances That Will Be Discontinued and Sell for Big Bucks on eBay in 3 Years

    Perhaps also Ungaro III Parfum Aromatique

  15. #15
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    Default Re: Predict Them Now: Fragrances That Will Be Discontinued and Sell for Big Bucks on eBay in 3 Years

    Terre D'Hermes Parfum , perhaps not in 3 years
    Bentley Intense

  16. #16

    Default Re: Predict Them Now: Fragrances That Will Be Discontinued and Sell for Big Bucks on eBay in 3 Years

    2009 / 2010 batches of La Nuit de l'homme - already going for silly prices and in a few years time when they are really scarce will go for even sillier money. There are still some out there so possibly worth getting one at retail price if you find one.

  17. #17

    Default Re: Predict Them Now: Fragrances That Will Be Discontinued and Sell for Big Bucks on eBay in 3 Years

    Awesome thread idea.
    Currently wearing: Viking by Creed

  18. #18

    Default Re: Predict Them Now: Fragrances That Will Be Discontinued and Sell for Big Bucks on eBay in 3 Years

    All the Comme des Garcons series scents will be collectible when gone. The Question is when? They will probably close down when they become chemically obsolete or loose their marketing groove and fade away. Stockpile the early bottles of incense, synthetic, sherbet, green, red, monocle, Series 2, 3, 2 Man, series, etc - for they may become investment grade if CDG drops the whole series. If it happens it might happen all at once. Some of the early ones are already gone such as Tar, Skai, Dry Cleaning, the formula of the incense series are changing slightly as materials vary and lose original potency etc. Five years? Ten years? What abotiut Olivier Durbano gemstone series?? For collecability its important to find good fragrances that for some reason have little chance of lasting generations. Smaller niche lines that will generate curiosity when they are gone.
    december line up: z zegna milan • scent one hinoki • le labo baie 19 • le labo thé noir 29 • moth and rabbit la haine • heretic blood cedar • bvlgari man dark orient • madras cardamom • phuong dang artist • hermes osmanthe yunnan • boadicea the victorious imperial • olibanum profumum • fahrenheit parfum • dusita issara • papyrus oud/71 • oud alif • sahraa oud • mfk oud extrait • baccarat rouge 540 extrait

  19. #19
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    Default Re: Predict Them Now: Fragrances That Will Be Discontinued and Sell for Big Bucks on eBay in 3 Years

    - Fahrenheit Absolute
    - Zino

    (- Aqua Fahrenheit maybe)
    My Top '11' of main current rotation in no particular order:

    - Paco Rabanne: Pour Homme (vtg)
    - Antaeus (vtg)
    - Azzaro: Pour Homme (vtg)
    - TF: Ombré Leather
    - Cartier: Santos edt (vtg)
    - Guerlain: Héritage (vtg)
    - Thierry Mugler: A*men
    - SA: Al Basel
    - D&G: Pour Homme (vtg)
    - Mancera: Red Tobacco
    - Mancera: Aoud Vanille

  20. #20

    Default Re: Predict Them Now: Fragrances That Will Be Discontinued and Sell for Big Bucks on eBay in 3 Years

    What history taught us is that all Fendi scents skyrocket in prices after the end of production

  21. #21

    Default Re: Predict Them Now: Fragrances That Will Be Discontinued and Sell for Big Bucks on eBay in 3 Years

    Mugler Ultra Zest

  22. #22
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    Default Re: Predict Them Now: Fragrances That Will Be Discontinued and Sell for Big Bucks on eBay in 3 Years

    D&G The One
    AdG Essenza
    AdG Profumo
    Eau Sauvage Parfum
    Dior Homme Cologne
    Dior Homme Parfum
    Armani Eau de Cedre
    Armani Eau d'Aromes
    Terre d'Hermes Parfum
    Last edited by Diamondflame; 24th July 2016 at 02:16 AM.

  23. #23

    Default Re: Predict Them Now: Fragrances That Will Be Discontinued and Sell for Big Bucks on eBay in 3 Years

    Quote Originally Posted by Diamondflame View Post
    D&G The One
    AdG Gio Essenza
    AdG Gio Profumo
    Eau Sauvage Parfum
    Dior Homme Cologne
    Dior Homme Parfum
    Armani Eau de Cedre
    Armani Eau d'Aromes
    Terre d'Hermes Parfum
    Thanks for sharing, time to stock up on some Eau de Cedre, Eau Sauvage Parfum EDP and AGD Essenza among others from this post

  24. #24

    Default Re: Predict Them Now: Fragrances That Will Be Discontinued and Sell for Big Bucks on eBay in 3 Years

    This is a female frag, but I see this happening with Prada Infusion d'Iris EdP soon. Already it's getting hard to find.
    My only regrets in life are the people I haven't stood up for,
    and the perfumes I've thrown away.
    Currently wearing: L by Lolita Lempicka

  25. #25

    Default Re: Predict Them Now: Fragrances That Will Be Discontinued and Sell for Big Bucks on eBay in 3 Years

    Dior homme parfum
    Chopped oud malaki




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  26. #26
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    Default Re: Predict Them Now: Fragrances That Will Be Discontinued and Sell for Big Bucks on eBay in 3 Years

    +1 for Fahrenheit Absolute
    <div class="bnsotd"><b>Currently wearing:</b> <a href="ID26148387.html"><img src="http://www.basenotes.net/photos/products/33/26148387-7393.jpg"> Carven L'Eau Intense by Carven</a></div>

  27. #27

    Default Re: Predict Them Now: Fragrances That Will Be Discontinued and Sell for Big Bucks on eBay in 3 Years

    Quote Originally Posted by badarun View Post
    Strictly for $$$ only - Aventus, as there's tons of nutcases still seeking "the" right batch...

    For a fragrance / scent only - few Malle's, Sahara Noir (if it's not already d'contd), Blackbird, Leather Oud, Slumberhouse, Fazzolari / Bogue's releases to name a few. Most of these will take a hit with the ever imposing IFRA regulations & what not...I recall seeing Bogue's Eau d'E selling for insane prices online - close to $10 per ml.
    Indeed. Slumberhouse has been pretty reliant in this regard as they consistently cut production on their releases (even really good ones, like Baque). And I just sold my OG bottle of Blackbird last week (for a very fair price too) and the whole time I thought, "If I was just patient enough to hold this another year or two I could probably get over $500 for it." But I'm glad someone else is enjoying it and didn't have to pay an arm and a leg.

    Quote Originally Posted by mkpunk View Post
    Polo Supreme OUD (was this a limited release, I'm not sure...)
    Jay Z Gold (just because it is so awesome and I feel an under-rated scent that is sooo great)
    Acqua de Gio Perfumo (this fragrance is one that while I don't own (looking to get rid of some first and also looking to get it for March-August) it is great smelling.)
    Really? I've never smelled Gold or heard anyone talk about it. I gotta give it a shot. I think AdG Profumo could be one of those if they limit its production and cut it soon. But if it's in production for another couple of years I don't think much will happen with it. But it's a good one to keep an eye on.

    Quote Originally Posted by AnthonyG View Post
    Dior Homme Parfum
    Givenchy Play Intense

    Montana Black Edition
    Agree with Parfum. Intense had its run. I don't think there will ever be another craze for it like there was a couple years ago with original batches. As for Parfum, it doesn't appear too often, it's very underrated (in my opinion), and completists are going to want it down the road to finish their Dior Homme lines. Plus, I can see Dior cutting its production due to the fact that it (and this is just a guess) doesn't sell that much.

    As far as Givenchy Play Intense....

    Interesting pick. Play Intense is one of those scents that is very good, and has some die-hard fans, but overall doesn't receive the attention it deserves. I'm not sure but I don't think its a huge seller either. I can see Givenchy cutting it in a year or two and a few years later people really wanting it and driving the price up. At the same time, I think a lot of it was produced, so there's a big surplus of Play Intense. It may take a while to happen or never happen at all. It will probably follow the path of Very Irresistible, which gradually increased, from its average online price of $40--50 to $100 a few years after it was discontinued. Still, doubling your money wouldn't be a bad thing.


    Quote Originally Posted by Buzzlepuff View Post
    All the Comme des Garcons series scents will be collectible when gone. The Question is when? They will probably close down when they become chemically obsolete or loose their marketing groove and fade away. Stockpile the early bottles of incense, synthetic, sherbet, green, red, monocle, Series 2, 3, 2 Man, series, etc - for they may become investment grade if CDG drops the whole series. If it happens it might happen all at once. Some of the early ones are already gone such as Tar, Skai, Dry Cleaning, the formula of the incense series are changing slightly as materials vary and lose original potency etc. Five years? Ten years? What abotiut Olivier Durbano gemstone series?? For collecability its important to find good fragrances that for some reason have little chance of lasting generations. Smaller niche lines that will generate curiosity when they are gone.
    Sure, good call. And I'm sure with a brand like CdG there are some serious collectors out there that are willing to pay a lot for what they want. The incense series would be a good place to start. I'm not sure about the Gem series, but it's interesting how it could work--I bet right now you could buy the very unpopular ones for a pretty low price and that in the future these would be harder to find (due to them making less because of less demand) and worth more money. I just sold a bottle of Turquoise for $40. That's pretty damn low. I bought it for $25. I didn't sell it to make money, but I'm just using that as an example of a less popular one, which is probably ultimately more rare and therefore might fetch a higher price than something like Black Tourmaline in the future.

    Quote Originally Posted by Diamondflame View Post
    D&G The One
    AdG Gio Essenza
    AdG Gio Profumo
    Eau Sauvage Parfum
    Dior Homme Cologne
    Dior Homme Parfum
    Armani Eau de Cedre
    Armani Eau d'Aromes
    Terre d'Hermes Parfum
    Interesting list as these are all very accessible right now. I wonder which of these will be the first to get discontinued. I'm guessing the Armani Eau's and Eau Sauvage Parfum followed Dior Homme Parfum. The funny thing about Eau Sauvage Parfum is that right now it's going for an all time low. You can find 100ml bottles going for under $40. Not only a great bargain for an excellent perfume, but if your prediction is right....you could make a killing.

    Quote Originally Posted by Mustafa911 View Post
    Dior homme parfum
    Chopped oud malaki

    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
    Great call on Oud Malaki. It's one of those relatively unknown gems of high quality and just enough of a cult status to generate even more of a buzz after its discontinued. I can also see people for whom Oud Malaki has become a signature scent unable to find it in regular online spots and thereby willing to drop a lot of money for it on eBay.

  28. #28

    Default Re: Predict Them Now: Fragrances That Will Be Discontinued and Sell for Big Bucks on eBay in 3 Years

    Quote Originally Posted by Russlan View Post
    What history taught us is that all Fendi scents skyrocket in prices after the end of production
    I didn't know that. I might buy fan di Fendi because I've smelled and liked it. So one for my collection.

    Sent from my SM-G935F using Tapatalk

  29. #29

    Default Re: Predict Them Now: Fragrances That Will Be Discontinued and Sell for Big Bucks on eBay in 3 Years

    Quote Originally Posted by Russlan View Post
    What history taught us is that all Fendi scents skyrocket in prices after the end of production
    I wasn't aware of this. Incidentally, I picked up a 50ml of Fan di Fendi recently just because I heard it was good and had been discontinued. So I have one basically full bottle. I thought it was good, but not great. Easy to wear, but hard to remember.

  30. #30
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    Default Re: Predict Them Now: Fragrances That Will Be Discontinued and Sell for Big Bucks on eBay in 3 Years

    Lots of great speculations, people!

    Quote Originally Posted by Kotori View Post
    This is a female frag, but I see this happening with Prada Infusion d'Iris EdP soon. Already it's getting hard to find.
    Ouch! That's a good one. I have it, but maybe a backup is in order. Infusion d'Homme is going, too.

    Quote Originally Posted by sjg3839 View Post
    +1 for Fahrenheit Absolute


    Quote Originally Posted by Schnitter View Post
    I didn't know that. I might buy fan di Fendi because I've smelled and liked it. So one for my collection.

    Sent from my SM-G935F using Tapatalk
    The old Theorema (women's, but easy guy wear) was one I latched onto while still floating around before it went full Ebay. Very nice. Fan di Fendi has a slight homage to it, but not as much as it should have. The men's FdF were pretty interesting, but simply not novel enough to wow the market. I may watch for discounts.
    There is no beauty / That cannot be more abused / To beauty's effect.
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